By invitation from the California State Senate and on behalf of ForeclosureRadar, I recently presented to the Joint Oversight Hearing of the Senate Banking, Finance and Insurance Committee and the Senate Judiciary Committee on the issue of the impact of government intervention on foreclosures. Here’s what our Senator’s saw since sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words.
From 2007 to 2009, Notices of Default and Notices of Trustee Sale increased year over year, meaning more and more properties entered the foreclosure process and were teed up for sale by the lender. At the same time properties exiting the foreclosure process through cancellations increased but not nearly on pace with the number of properties entering the process. On top of that, fewer properties exited the foreclosure process through foreclosure sale in 2009 than the year before. Bottom line is that year-over-year we are seeing an increasing number of properties entering foreclosure with fewer exiting through cancellation or sale
- SB 1137: Effective September 2008, this bill required lenders to contact the borrower at least 30 days before a Notice of Default can be filed.
- SB2X-7 and AB2X-7, also known as The California Foreclosure Prevention Act: Effective June 2009, these bills imposed a 90-day moratorium on filing of the Notice of Trustee Sale unless exempted under specific guidelines.
SB1137 had a temporary drag effect on Notice of Default filings, but didn’t slow the growth trend for long. AB2X-7 and SB2X-7 was followed by a temporary decline in Notice of Trustee filings, but the drop was short lived as most lenders were exempt from the law.
A closer look shows the immediate effect of SB 1137 was to slash the number of Notice of Default filings from 2,979 on Friday to 174 the on following Monday.
It took four months for the number of Notice of Default filings to return to, and subsequently exceed, pre-SB 1137 levels.
Viewed on a daily basis, the California Foreclosure Prevention Act was followed by an immediate drop in Notice of Trustee Sale filings from 4,192 on Friday to 268 on the following Tuesday.
Yet a month later in July 2009, Notice of Trustee Sale filings had almost returned to pre-SB2X-7/AB2X-7 levels.
Other governmental induced initiatives designed to address the foreclosure crisis were:
- 9/08 Fannie and Freddie Conservatorship and Moratoriums. The federal government took over the two biggest loan finance companies in the US and imposed a temporary ban on foreclosures.
- 9/08 Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). The federal government authorized $700 billion to purchase assets and equity from financial institutions to stabilize markets – and began steps to alleviate lenders from marking down assets to current market value.
- 3/09 Servicer Moratoriums Lenders agreed to voluntarily delay filing foreclosure notices in anticipation of HAMP at the request of the Federal Government.
- 3/09 Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). The federal government provides eligible homeowners the opportunity to modify their mortgages to make them more affordable, mainly through refinancing the existing balance.
- 4/10 Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program (HAFA). The federal government provides opportunities for homeowners avoid foreclosure through a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.
While the impact of the government programs has not permanently reversed the rising number of foreclosure filings, we have seen an increase in the average number of days from the filing of the Notice of Default to the Foreclosure Sale from 145 days when SB 1137 became effective in 3Q 2008 to 226 days estimated for 1Q 2010. If there is any clear impact of government efforts it is that it now takes longer to foreclose.
While government programs have been aimed at reducing foreclosure filings and encouraging cancellations once filed, they have not focused on mortgage delinquencies. If there were no delinquencies there would be no foreclosures. The problem is that the number of delinquencies continues to rise , growing from 1.3 percent to 11.3 percent of mortgages in the past three years.
Where are we now?
So far all of the government intervention that we have seen over the past two years, while clearly well intentioned, has done little more than add delays to the foreclosure process, allowing banks to avoid losses by pushing the problem off to another day. New programs such as HAFA (which offers short sale and deed in lieu options) and revisions to HAMP (which address principal reduction) are improvements over previous programs because they begin to deal with the real problem: negative equity. But we’re not yet convinced that these programs won’t also fail. The potential losses are simply too great for lenders, let alone the nearly insolvent FDIC, to allow these programs to significantly reduce the excess debt created during the housing bubble.
Government intervention continues to prove there are no solutions. These programs indicate bureaucracy run amuck, and only serve to postpone the eventual outcome.
“A home without equity is a rental with debt.”
IT is apparent that these programs were initiated by either naive politicians, politicians who wanted some camera time or both. Every time a program gets rolled out, a temporary decrease in filings is seen. However you see that the activity comes right back up. 11.3% delinquent? Wow. It is hard to say it but the best course of action is to bite the bullet, which will lead to a faster recovery. The politicos would never let that happen though. They would be the ones blamed if this happened. People would only see 1 of 10 homes foreclosed, and panic would ensue.
I realize that this is a major crises and the truth is the problem is going to continue to get bigger and worse and is already causing a worse affect on the rest of the country. There is not enough man power to cut off this disease from spreading and causing more harm with all this toxic loans. For the people’s best interest in this type of situation is to cut of the disease off and get rid off this through a short sale and buy the same home at 1/2 the price. Prices are not predicted to rise for the next 5 years. So I hope people also can see the opportunity and take advantage of this and just get rid of the home and start over, fresh with a better outlook for their future. The new”HaFa”, program is clearly giving them an opportunity. ,People should take advantage of it. My recommendation is for people to get rid of their non performing asset. People pay nothing, so don’t wait. Help yourself and your family first. Banks do not care for you or your family’s future, it is the media that makes you think there is hope. The only hope is the one that you take action on.
Low inventory confirms the market is mostly made up of liquidators, not willing sellers.
The results of unintended consequences by government action was proven by a study done by an analysis of 25 million people’s FICO score by a major credit company which showed the main abusers of trying to get a loan reduction were the people with the highest scores.
I believe our elected officials who were trying to show passion by eliminating the cost to people for the “debt relief” on their primary residence caused this continuation of short sales and foreclosures.
The Government should enforce the time lines for short sales, because as banks are running out of funds, and while the short sales take too long to get approved; the whole economy is being affected.. The programs set by the government do not work because people who work for the banks servicing the short sales do not know their own programs, and only confuse everyone else. One day a bank implements a new procedure and another day they someone else will say “No we do not do that.” Someone should make all the guidelines the same and either it is black or white. stop confusing people.